SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lebanon win with a probability of 71.26%. A draw has a probability of 18.3% and a win for East Timor has a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.66%), while for a East Timor win it is 0-1 (4.06%).
| Result | ||
| Lebanon | Draw | East Timor |
71.26% ( -0.73) | 18.35% ( 0.52) | 10.4% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 43.12% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( -1.61) | 46.8% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( -1.53) | 69.05% ( 1.54) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( -0.65) | 11.83% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.93% ( -1.4) | 37.07% ( 1.41) |
| East Timor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.9% ( -0.6) | 51.1% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.59% ( -0.41) | 85.41% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lebanon | Draw | East Timor |
| 2-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.54)3-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.09% Total : 71.25% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.35% | 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.4% |
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