SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hong Kong win with a probability of 78.71%. A draw has a probability of 13.4% and a win for Macao has a probability of 7.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Macao win it is 1-2 (2.43%).
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Macao |
78.71% ( 0.41) | 13.4% ( -0.29) | 7.89% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.68% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.67% ( 1.13) | 31.33% ( -1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.22% ( 1.32) | 52.78% ( -1.32) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.69% ( 0.32) | 6.31% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.25% ( 0.87) | 23.75% ( -0.87) |
| Macao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.09% ( 0.58) | 45.9% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.35% ( 0.45) | 81.65% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Macao |
| 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.09)6-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.93% Total : 78.7% | 1-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.92% Total : 13.4% | 1-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.2% Total : 7.89% |
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