SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Guatemala |
58.75% ( -0.55) | 21.82% ( 0.22) | 19.43% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.61% ( -0.51) | 43.39% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( -0.5) | 65.79% ( 0.5) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( -0.34) | 14.44% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.61% ( -0.66) | 42.39% ( 0.66) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( 0.05) | 36.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.07% ( 0.05) | 72.93% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Guatemala |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.75% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.82% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.43% |
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