SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Malaysia had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Malaysia win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Malaysia |
58.15% ( 4.78) | 23.73% ( -1.54) | 18.12% ( -3.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.45% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( 1.9) | 53.14% ( -1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( 1.59) | 74.71% ( -1.59) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% ( 2.58) | 18.05% ( -2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.05% ( 4.24) | 48.95% ( -4.24) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.69% ( -2.5) | 43.31% ( 2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.45% ( -2.16) | 79.55% ( 2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Malaysia |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.96)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 6.54% ( 1.02)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.53)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.62)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.6)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -1) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.65)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.64)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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