SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Comoros |
46.84% ( 0.17) | 27.01% ( 0.34) | 26.15% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( -1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.48% ( -1.53) | 57.53% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% ( -1.23) | 78.31% ( 1.23) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( -0.59) | 24.57% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.94% ( -0.84) | 59.06% ( 0.84) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.29% ( -1.26) | 37.71% ( 1.27) |
