Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 91.21%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 1.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.62%) and 4-0 (13.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.52%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (0.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Algeria | Draw | Bolivia |
91.21% (![]() | 7.17% (![]() | 1.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 22.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.97% (![]() | 35.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.97% (![]() | 57.02% (![]() |
Algeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.37% (![]() | 4.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.14% (![]() | 18.86% (![]() |
Bolivia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
23.94% (![]() | 76.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
3.13% (![]() | 96.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Algeria | Draw | Bolivia |
3-0 @ 17.02% (![]() 2-0 @ 16.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 13.07% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 10.82% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.59% Total : 91.19% | 0-0 @ 3.52% (![]() 1-1 @ 2.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.68% Total : 7.17% | 0-1 @ 0.96% (![]() Other @ 0.66% Total : 1.62% |
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