Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.