Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
