SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | PAOK |
40.25% ( 0.21) | 26.88% ( 0.61) | 32.86% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( -2.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.7% ( -2.65) | 54.3% ( 2.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% ( -2.25) | 75.69% ( 2.26) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( -1.1) | 26.47% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( -1.49) | 61.65% ( 1.5) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( -1.85) | 30.92% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( -2.23) | 67.21% ( 2.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.76) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.81)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.32)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.86% |
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