Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 1-0 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
