SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | OFI Crete |
58.74% ( -0.28) | 22.71% ( 0.1) | 18.54% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.44% ( -0.17) | 48.55% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% ( -0.15) | 70.68% ( 0.15) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( -0.16) | 16.2% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.31% ( -0.28) | 45.69% ( 0.28) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( 0.1) | 40.13% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.23% ( 0.09) | 76.77% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | OFI Crete |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PAOKPAOK | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 41 |
| 2 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 14 | 33 | 41 |
| 3 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 35 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
| 7 | AtromitosAtromitos | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 23 |
| 8 | LamiaLamia | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Panserraikos | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
| 11 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 14 |
| 12 | Volos | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 14 |
| 13 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 12 |
| 14 | Kifisia | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 12 |
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