SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Kifisia had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Kifisia win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kifisia | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
35.73% ( -0.2) | 28.02% ( 0.01) | 36.25% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.75% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.69% ( -0.03) | 58.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.07% ( -0.02) | 78.93% ( 0.03) |
| Kifisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -0.14) | 31.07% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.61% ( -0.17) | 67.39% ( 0.17) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( 0.11) | 30.73% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.01% ( 0.13) | 66.99% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kifisia | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PAOKPAOK | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 41 |
| 2 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 14 | 33 | 41 |
| 3 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 35 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
| 7 | AtromitosAtromitos | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 23 |
| 8 | LamiaLamia | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Panserraikos | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
| 11 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 14 |
| 12 | Volos | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 14 |
| 13 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 12 |
| 14 | Kifisia | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 12 |
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