SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ionikos win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ionikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ionikos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ionikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
41.05% ( -0.01) | 27.13% ( -0.01) | 31.81% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.48% ( 0.05) | 55.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.3% ( 0.04) | 76.7% ( -0.04) |
| Ionikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( 0.02) | 26.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.17% ( 0.03) | 61.83% ( -0.02) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% ( 0.04) | 32.26% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.25% ( 0.05) | 68.75% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ionikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 59 |
| 3 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 56 |
| 4 | PAOKPAOK | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 54 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 6 | Volos | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 29 |
| 8 | AtromitosAtromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 9 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
| 10 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 25 |
| 11 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 23 |
| 12 | Ionikos | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 18 |
| 13 | LamiaLamia | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 17 |
| 14 | LevadiakosLevadiakos | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 17 |
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