Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
