Suriname 2-1 Guadeloupe - CONCACAF Gold Cup Group Stage - Football

Jul 21, 2021 at 12am UK

Vlijter (14'), Hasselbaink (79')
Alberg (78'), Koolwijk (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Phaeton (20')
Annette (70'), T (90+2')
Irep (29'), Annette (90+5')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Suriname and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.

Result
Suriname	Draw	Guadeloupe
51.22%	24.29%	24.49%

Both teams to score 53.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.79%

48.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.63%

70.37%

Suriname Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18%

18.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.74%

50.26%

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.94%

34.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.26%

70.74%

Score Analysis

Suriname 51.22%

Guadeloupe 24.49%

Draw 24.29%

Suriname	Draw	Guadeloupe
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 8.94% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.22%	1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.29%	0-1 @ 6.91% 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.49%

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