Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uniao de Leiria win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Tondela has a probability of 29.62% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uniao de Leiria win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Tondela win is 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).
0.17) 
-0.27) 
