SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Lens |
28.25% ( -0.01) | 24.48% ( 0.07) | 47.27% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% ( -0.32) | 46.15% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( -0.3) | 68.45% ( 0.3) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( -0.17) | 29.99% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( -0.21) | 66.1% ( 0.21) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( -0.15) | 19.62% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.43% ( -0.25) | 51.57% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.25% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.27% |
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