SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Cardiff City |
36.04% ( 0.32) | 26.29% ( 0.16) | 37.66% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% ( -0.68) | 51.45% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( -0.6) | 73.26% ( 0.6) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( -0.13) | 27.51% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.98% ( -0.17) | 63.01% ( 0.17) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.59) | 26.58% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.2% ( -0.78) | 61.79% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.66% |
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