SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.67%) and 1-3 (5.39%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Al-Nassr |
33.86% ( 0.1) | 22.12% ( -0.01) | 44.02% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 67.98% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.89% ( 0.09) | 32.11% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.31% ( 0.1) | 53.69% ( -0.09) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( 0.09) | 19.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( 0.14) | 51.68% ( -0.14) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( 0.01) | 15.36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.87% ( 0) | 44.13% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.38% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 44.02% |
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