Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs | Final | 1st Leg
Oct 25, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Mustapekka Areena
Woivalin (34'), Ala-Iso (53'), Linnas (59')
FT
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs Final clash between Gnistan and IFK Mariehamn.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Gnistan | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 42.1% | 22.91% | 34.99% |
| Both teams to score 65.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
Gnistan 42.1%
IFK Mariehamn 34.99%
Draw 22.91%
| Gnistan | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
2-1 @ 8.68%
1-0 @ 6.37%
2-0 @ 5.53%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 42.1%
| 1-1 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 6.81%
0-0 @ 3.66%
3-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.91%
| 1-2 @ 7.84%
0-1 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.99%
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