SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
63.15% ( -0.05) | 19.09% ( 0.01) | 17.76% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.26% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.74% ( 0.06) | 33.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.98% ( 0.07) | 55.02% ( -0.07) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.91% ( 0) | 10.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.77% ( 0.01) | 33.23% ( -0.01) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( 0.09) | 31.86% ( -0.09) |
