SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Leicester City |
29.48% ( 0.26) | 26.4% ( 0.12) | 44.12% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% ( -0.37) | 53.5% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% ( -0.31) | 75.02% ( 0.31) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 0) | 32.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.54% ( 0) | 69.46% ( -0) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -0.35) | 24.12% ( 0.35) |
