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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.67%. A draw has a probability of 17.2% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-3 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Luton Town win it is 2-1 (4%).
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Manchester City |
14.15% ( -1.04) | 17.18% ( -0.14) | 68.67% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.71% ( -2.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.66% ( -1.71) | 31.33% ( 1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.22% ( -2.05) | 52.78% ( 2.05) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% ( -2.45) | 34.87% ( 2.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.38% ( -2.67) | 71.61% ( 2.67) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.68% ( -0.19) | 8.31% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.01% ( -0.48) | 28.98% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 4% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.33% Total : 14.15% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.29)0-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.18% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.67)1-3 @ 7.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.44% ( 0.49)0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.6)1-4 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 4.63% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.2)1-5 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 2.3% ( 0.11)2-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.11)1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.72% Total : 68.67% |
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