SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
41.97% ( 1.11) | 26.11% ( -0.18) | 31.91% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% ( 0.46) | 51.4% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.77% ( 0.4) | 73.22% ( -0.41) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( 0.78) | 24.25% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.38% ( 1.09) | 58.61% ( -1.1) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0.39) | 30.09% ( 0.39) |
