Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Oxford United |
46.1% ( 0.01) | 24.42% | 29.48% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.82% ( -0) | 45.18% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.47% ( -0) | 67.53% ( 0) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.29% ( 0.01) | 19.72% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.27% ( 0.01) | 51.73% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.38% ( -0.01) | 28.63% ( 0.01) |