MX23RW : Saturday, September 9 00:48:59
SM
Ukraine vs. England: 15 hrs 11 mins
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UN
European Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Rome
EN
Ukraine
0 - 4
England
 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kane (4', 50'), Maguire (46'), Henderson (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
UkraineDrawEngland
20.11%23.16%56.73%
Both teams to score 51.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.75%48.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6%70.4%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.77%38.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.01%75%
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21%16.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25%46.76%
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 20.11%
    England 56.72%
    Draw 23.16%
UkraineDrawEngland
1-0 @ 6.17%
2-1 @ 5.29%
2-0 @ 2.97%
3-1 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.51%
3-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.11%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 11.45%
0-2 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-3 @ 6.08%
1-3 @ 5.84%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-4 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 1.25%
0-5 @ 0.97%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 56.72%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400112912
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3Liverpool431093610
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5Arsenal431084410
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton430112669
7Crystal Palace42115417
8Brentford41308536
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42026606
10Aston Villa420289-16
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd420257-26
12Chelsea41125504
13Fulham4112410-64
14Newcastle UnitedNewcastle41037703
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves410348-43
16Bournemouth402248-42
17Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd401347-31
18Everton401328-61
19Luton TownLuton300329-70
20Burnley3003311-80
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