SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 87.83%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 4-0 (10.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | San Marino |
87.83% ( -0.05) | 9.04% ( -0.07) | 3.14% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 34.2% ( 1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.11% ( 1.26) | 32.89% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.41% ( 1.44) | 54.59% ( -1.43) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.08% ( 0.21) | 4.92% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.25% ( 0.63) | 19.75% ( -0.63) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.97% ( 1.57) | 64.03% ( -1.56) |
