SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.86%) and 0-3 (12.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Portugal |
6.33% ( -0.08) | 15.17% ( 0.02) | 78.51% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 35.39% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( -0.4) | 46.56% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( -0.38) | 68.83% ( 0.38) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.26% ( -0.5) | 60.74% ( 0.5) |
