SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Armenia |
72.71% ( -0.23) | 16.5% ( 0.11) | 10.78% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.84% ( -0.22) | 37.16% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.64% ( -0.23) | 59.36% ( 0.23) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.1% ( -0.11) | 8.89% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.59% ( -0.25) | 30.4% ( 0.25) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.95% ( 0.06) | 44.05% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.83% ( 0.05) | 80.16% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Croatia | Draw | Armenia |
| 2-0 @ 11.46% 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 72.7% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 16.5% | 0-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 10.78% |
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