SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Omonia win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Omonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Omonia |
36.82% ( 0.07) | 23.19% ( -0.01) | 39.99% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.52% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% ( 0.03) | 36.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.94% ( 0.03) | 59.06% ( -0.04) |
| Sheriff Tiraspol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( 0.04) | 20.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.16% ( 0.07) | 52.83% ( -0.08) |
| Omonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( -0.02) | 18.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.55% ( -0.03) | 50.44% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Omonia |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 39.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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