SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Elfsborg |
54.31% ( 0.06) | 22.28% ( -0.02) | 23.41% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.62% ( 0.05) | 40.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.25% ( 0.05) | 62.75% ( -0.05) |
| Sheriff Tiraspol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.15% ( 0.03) | 14.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.82% ( 0.07) | 43.17% ( -0.07) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0) | 30.7% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( -0.01) | 66.95% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.31% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 23.41% |
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