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Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
ML

Roma
2 - 1
AC Milan

Mancini (12'), Dybala (22')
Celik (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gabbia (85')
Calabria (32'), Gabbia (46'), Adli (51'), Jovic (77'), Tomori (89'), Hernandez (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 33.68% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.22%).

Result
RomaDrawAC Milan
40.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 33.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (0.042999999999999 0.04)49.44% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)71.47% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.016999999999996 0.02)24.1% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)58.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (0.034000000000006 0.03)27.98% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (0.039999999999999 0.04)63.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Roma 40.56%
    AC Milan 33.68%
    Draw 25.75%
RomaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.56%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Lazio
Saturday, April 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Roma
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Roma
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Roma
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 3-3 AC Milan
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-3 AC Milan
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-3 AC Milan
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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