SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Villarreal |
36.85% ( -0.02) | 25.85% ( 0.01) | 37.3% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% ( -0.03) | 49.5% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% ( -0.03) | 71.54% ( 0.03) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( -0.03) | 26.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.8% ( -0.03) | 61.2% ( 0.03) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( -0.01) | 25.87% ( 0.01) |
