Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
