SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | West Ham United |
47.5% ( 0.97) | 22.13% ( -0.09) | 30.37% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 66.15% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.21% ( -0.03) | 33.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.37% ( -0.03) | 55.63% ( 0.03) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( 0.33) | 14.77% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.97% ( 0.62) | 43.03% ( -0.62) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.52) | 22.38% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( -0.78) | 55.88% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.37% |
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