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SM
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FZ
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadion Letzigrund
HL
FC Zurich
2 - 1
Hearts
Guerrero (32'), Dzemaili (34')
Marchesano (22'), Guerrero (47')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Shankland (22' pen.)
Sibbick (86'), Smith (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Winterthur 1-1 FC Zurich
Sunday, August 14 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Hearts 4-1 Dundee Utd
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: FC Zurich 1-1 Hearts

Despite their two-legged win over Linfield, Zurich's domestic form is understandably a concern for the Swiss side heading into Thursday's contest, while Hearts have made a bright start to their top-flight campaign. Nevertheless, a closely-fought contest is set to be played out in St Gallen and we can see the spoils being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

Result
FC ZurichDrawHearts
50.05% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 24.77% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 25.17% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (-0.373 -0.37)49.64% (0.37 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34% (-0.337 -0.34)71.66% (0.333 0.33)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (-0.137 -0.14)19.84% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.06% (-0.221 -0.22)51.94% (0.218 0.22)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-0.283 -0.28)34.24% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-0.304 -0.3)70.94% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    FC Zurich 50.05%
    Hearts 25.17%
    Draw 24.77%
FC ZurichDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.79% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 25.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Winterthur 1-1 FC Zurich
Sunday, August 14 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 3-0 Linfield
Thursday, August 11 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-3 Sion
Sunday, August 7 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Linfield 0-2 FC Zurich
Thursday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: St Gallen 2-0 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-2 Qarabag FK
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hearts 4-1 Dundee Utd
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Hearts
Sunday, August 7 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-1 Ross County
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hearts 1-2 Preston
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
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