SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Limassol win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Limassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Limassol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Limassol | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
41.77% ( 4.72) | 26.02% ( -0.04) | 32.21% ( -4.68) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.03% ( -0.53) | 50.97% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.16% ( -0.46) | 72.84% ( 0.46) |
| Aris Limassol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 2.29) | 24.16% ( -2.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.51% ( 3.15) | 58.48% ( -3.15) |
| Slovan Bratislava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( -3.14) | 29.68% ( 3.14) |
