SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Astana had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for an Astana win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Astana |
62.91% ( 0.06) | 20.22% ( -0.01) | 16.87% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.63% ( -0.06) | 40.38% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.25% ( -0.06) | 62.75% ( 0.06) |
| Viktoria Plzen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( -0) | 12.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.03% | 37.97% ( 0) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% ( -0.1) | 37.22% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.99% ( -0.1) | 74.01% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Astana |
| 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.7% Total : 62.91% | 1-1 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.22% | 1-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 16.87% |
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