SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paide | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
41.85% ( 0.04) | 23.85% ( -0) | 34.3% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.44% ( 0.01) | 40.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.06% ( 0.01) | 62.94% ( -0.02) |
| Paide Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.03) | 19.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.37% ( 0.04) | 51.63% ( -0.04) |
| Ararat-Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.02) | 23.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.63% ( -0.03) | 57.37% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paide | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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