Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
