SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Gzira United had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Gzira United win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsberger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gzira United | Draw | Wolfsberger |
31.6% ( -0.05) | 28.71% ( 0) | 39.69% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.15% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.77% ( -0.02) | 61.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.83% ( -0.01) | 81.16% ( 0.01) |
| Gzira United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( -0.04) | 35.4% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.84% ( -0.04) | 72.16% ( 0.04) |
| Wolfsberger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( 0.02) | 30.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.75% ( 0.02) | 66.25% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gzira United | Draw | Wolfsberger |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 31.6% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 39.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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