SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Lech Poznan |
43.77% ( 0.14) | 24.86% ( -0.04) | 31.37% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% ( 0.12) | 46.24% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( 0.11) | 68.53% ( -0.11) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( 0.11) | 21.17% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.96% ( 0.17) | 54.04% ( -0.17) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0) | 27.88% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.51% ( -0.01) | 63.49% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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