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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 3-1 (5.21%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
42.75% ( 0.01) | 22.27% ( 0.01) | 34.97% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.76% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.46% ( -0.05) | 32.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.81% ( -0.06) | 54.18% ( 0.06) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( -0.02) | 16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.68% ( -0.03) | 45.32% ( 0.02) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.66% ( -0.03) | 19.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.89% ( -0.05) | 51.1% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.8% Total : 42.75% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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