Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
