SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
51.8% ( 0.19) | 24.58% ( 0.18) | 23.61% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( -1.05) | 50.21% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( -0.94) | 72.17% ( 0.94) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.63% ( -0.33) | 19.36% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.84% ( -0.55) | 51.16% ( 0.55) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( -0.9) | 35.92% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.29% ( -0.94) | 72.7% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.97% Total : 51.8% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Heracles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
| 15 | Heerenveen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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