SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NAC Breda |
53.38% ( 0.17) | 23.37% ( 0.04) | 23.25% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( -0.37) | 45.46% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( -0.36) | 67.8% ( 0.36) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% ( -0.07) | 16.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.91% ( -0.13) | 47.09% ( 0.13) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( -0.39) | 33.64% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% ( -0.42) | 70.29% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.38% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.25% |
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