SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
65.53% ( -0.01) | 18.82% ( 0.02) | 15.64% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.11) | 36.15% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.73% ( -0.12) | 58.27% ( 0.12) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.67% ( -0.03) | 10.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.23% ( -0.08) | 33.77% ( 0.07) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( -0.08) | 36.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% ( -0.08) | 72.88% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 65.53% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.82% | 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.64% |
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