PSV boast a significantly better squad and will back themselves to come out on top in this one, and while we expect the home side to give a good account of themselves, we fancy the away side to get the job done.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for NEC had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.
