Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
