SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
13.72% ( -0.16) | 17.46% ( 0.01) | 68.82% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.2% ( -0.46) | 33.8% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.36% ( -0.52) | 55.64% ( 0.52) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( -0.52) | 37.1% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.12% ( -0.52) | 73.88% ( 0.52) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.08% ( -0.08) | 8.91% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.53% ( -0.21) | 30.47% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.02% Total : 13.72% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.46% | 0-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 8% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 7.79% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.71% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 4.67% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 0.92% 1-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 68.82% |
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